This BP Energy Outlook 2035 Infographic depicts the key themes from (2014′s) BP Energy Outlook 2035. According BP’s annual report, North America will become a net exporter of energy around 2018, Asia will account for nearly all of the growth in energy trade, China will consume the most energy, biofuels production will continue upwards, and the U.S. will make major progress towards achieving energy independence. If this report comes true, then we will be seeing a very different set of conditions related to energy production and consumption by 2035.
Also, the report predicts a complete breakout of GDP from energy, or, in other words, a decoupling of energy from economic growth between now and 2035, a process which has already begun.
• Fossil fuels still account for 80% of US energy demand in 2035, down from today’s 85%, driven by the increase of renewables in power generation from 2% to 8%.
• Energy consumed in power generation rises by 10% and while coal remains the dominant fuel source, its share drops from 43% to 35%.
• Energy consumed in transport falls by 18%. Oil remains the dominant fuel source, but its share falls from 95% to 83% as both biofuels and natural gas capture an 8% share by 2035.
Biofuels are to account for 3% of global liquids supplies in 2035, equal to 1.9 millions of barrels per day.
Lastly, this graphic shows biofuels in relation to all the other liquid fuel supply types by 2035.
Maybe it’s because I grew up in the number one cattle feeding county in the world or maybe it’s because the family farm that I hail from has always used cattle for rotational grazing which is still one of the most sustainable farming systems that there is, or, maybe it’s because I think Nature knows best and Nature put large herbivores on the continents back before this era of the Anthropocene when we’ve removed them because we think that “we” know best.
Because I’ve never bought into this cattle are our worst enemy idea, the “wrong” way to “feed 9 billion people by 2050.”
So, today, I was happy to discover this newly published analysis about cattle out of the Journal Nature.
The authors of this study, while they would like to see the current trend of less beef consumption continue, believe that most negative reports about cattle fail to take their benefits into account, which are many. The authors are mostly from Britain, and the title of the publication is “Agriculture: Steps to sustainable livestock – With improved breeding and cultivation, ruminant animals can yield food that is better for people and the planet, say Mark C. Eisler, Michael R. F. Lee and colleagues.” PDF LINK HERE
Topics covered include: most sustainable sources of food for ruminants, cattle genetics that make the most sense, keeping livestock healthy, and giving them smart plant based supplements. (Just as there is much discussion today about how human gut bacteria affect our health, the same is true of these ruminant animals. The right combinations of food/supplements can be used to decrease their methane releases.)
The study urges us to eat less meat, but higher quality meat, tailored to the culture and the region in which it is raised.
There is much wisdom in this writing, so I highly encourage you to read the study.